{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "FOMO发作", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_fomo", "outcome": "你坐最早一班飞机去了杭州。见到创始人后你发现——这个项目确实不错，但远没有FA说的那么紧俏。你拿到了一个正常估值的deal。Health-5，Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2008, "title": "TS拉锯战", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_ts_drama", "outcome": "你礼貌地退出了竞争。\"估值不是一切\"——你对创始人说。两周后创始人又联系了你：对方在尽调中发现了问题撤回了TS。你现在有了谈判的主动权，Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2009, "title": "家里的电话", "eventId": "ev_new_family_pressure", "outcome": "你说：'妈，我在忙，下次再说。'挂了电话后你有点愧疚。Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2010, "title": "核心出走", "eventId": "ev_chain_key_leave", "outcome": "你在24小时内联系了三个候选人。两周后新CTO到岗——他比前任更适配公司现阶段的需求。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2011, "title": "技术突破", "eventId": "ev_chain_breakthrough", "outcome": "你以最快速度完成了追加投资的流程。三个月后公司的估值翻了五倍。AUM+15，Track Record+7。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2012, "title": "Carry的传说", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_carry_talk", "outcome": "大家心照不宣地笑了。在这个行业里，没有人真的会透露自己的carry——但每个人都想知道别人的。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2013, "title": "屠龙的冲动", "eventId": "ev_career_startup", "outcome": "你礼貌地拒绝了。但回到办公室后，你看每一份BP的眼光都变了——你更理解那些数字背后的挣扎。Network+13（创始人们更信任你了）。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2014, "title": "年假申请", "eventId": "ev_health_vacation", "outcome": "你关了微信通知，在海边发了一周的呆。回来后的第一个周一，你发现自己的脑子比过去三个月任何时候都清楚。Health+10，但AUM-2（错过了一个deal的窗口期）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2015, "title": "大佬的一句话", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_mentor_advice", "outcome": "你在下一个项目中花了更多时间去了解创始人的性格和决策模式，而不仅仅是他的PPT。这个转变让你的deal质量显著提升。Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2016, "title": "小道消息", "eventId": "ev_new_market_rumor", "outcome": "你根据消息调整了投资策略。两个月后政策出台，你的portfolio几乎没有受影响。Track Record+3，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2017, "title": "LP的考验", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_poker", "outcome": "你All-in了一把。赢了。LP大笑着拍你的肩膀：\"有胆色！\"但你心里清楚——如果刚才输了，你现在可能已经在打道回府的路上。AUM+10，Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2018, "title": "竞对的谣言", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_rival_fund", "outcome": "你发了一份详细的portfolio更新，数据充分、逻辑清晰。LP们不仅没有被谣言影响，反而对你更加信任了。Track Record+6。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2019, "title": "行业峰会", "eventId": "ev_career_conference", "outcome": "你全程很少发言，但认真做了笔记。一位大佬注意到了你认真的态度，会后私下给了你一个deal的线索。Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2020, "title": "老同学的微信", "eventId": "ev_new_old_friend", "outcome": "你把朋友引荐给了一个熟悉的LP。LP看了BP后没投，但你们的人情还在。朋友很感激。Network+8，Health-2（人情债也是债）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2021, "title": "供应商危机", "eventId": "ev_new_supply_chain_2", "outcome": "你翻了通讯录，找到三个可能替代的供应商。其中一个一周内就出了样品。创始人说你是救命的。Network+5，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2022, "title": "跨部门协作", "eventId": "ev_new_cross_dept", "outcome": "你坚持要签一份合作协议，明确收益分成。对方不太高兴但同意了。项目后来成功了，你拿到了应得的份额。Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2023, "title": "升职窗口", "eventId": "ev_new_promotion", "outcome": "你约了老板喝咖啡，谈了你对基金未来的想法。老板很欣赏你的格局。Network+6，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2024, "title": "Title谈判", "eventId": "ev_new_title_negotiation", "outcome": "你没有争VP，而是提议了一个介于两者之间的'投资总监'。HR觉得这个方案很创新，合伙人觉得你有格局。Track Record+2，Network+4。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2025, "title": "醉酒的创始人", "eventId": "ev_new_drunk_founder", "outcome": "你当晚就给LP发了一条委婉的风险提示。LP赞赏你的透明度，但创始人知道后觉得你'背后捅刀'。AUM+5（LP信任度提升），Network-8（创始人圈子传出你不靠谱）。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2026, "title": "凌晨三点的邮件", "eventId": "ev_health_sleep", "outcome": "你合上了笔记本电脑。这是六个月来你第一次在午夜之前睡觉。第二天醒来时你感觉像换了一个人。Health+5。当然，LP的邮件还没回完——但世界没有因此毁灭。", "choiceIndex": 0}], "investments": [{"year": 2006, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2007_antivirus", "outcomeText": "免费模式烧钱太快，广告收入跟不上，估值缩水至成本线。", "projectName": "铁壁安全", "maturityYear": 2007, "returnMultiple": 1.150923433061689}, {"year": 2009, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_office", "outcomeText": "钉钉免费策略横扫市场，创业公司无力抗衡。", "projectName": "云协科技", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 1.178511699102819}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2012_payment", "outcomeText": "两大巨头的支付战争中没有第三方的位置。", "projectName": "易结付", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 8, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2009_mobilead", "outcomeText": "广告主预算始终没从PC转移过来，资金耗尽。", "projectName": "指媒传媒", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2011_cloud", "outcomeText": "数据中心建设烧光融资，客户获取成本远超预期。", "projectName": "云鹏科技", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2014_p2p", "outcomeText": "资金池爆雷，创始人入狱，投资者血本无归，你也成了行业反面教材。", "projectName": "鑫融金服", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_saas_crm", "outcomeText": "SaaS订阅模式在国内变现困难，增长不及预期勉强保本。", "projectName": "客云端", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 1.1698369583114985}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2017_crowdfunding", "outcomeText": "产品众筹+电商模式跑通，被京东金融收购回报3倍。", "projectName": "追梦网", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 1.8901648390316408}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 11, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_overseas_tool", "outcomeText": "亚马逊自建工具免费化，第三方SaaS被边缘化。", "projectName": "越境通", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 1.0649759604595603}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2019_beauty", "outcomeText": "在细分品类建立口碑，被欧莱雅收购回报3倍。", "projectName": "花语纪", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 4.23868833532557}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2019_semi", "outcomeText": "技术路线验证但商业化缓慢，被产业链整合回报接近成本。", "projectName": "芯元芯片", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 1.0277866715565325}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 20, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2019_overseas_game", "outcomeText": "本地化成本远超预期，一款大作的失败抹平了所有利润。", "projectName": "扬帆游戏工场", "maturityYear": 2023, "returnMultiple": 1.1774295484647157}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2020_medai", "outcomeText": "产品获批后发现医生不愿意用——AI诊断的法律责任归属不明确。", "projectName": "睿医科技", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2025_aigc_video", "outcomeText": "与抖音电商深度合作成为官方工具回报5倍。", "projectName": "幻象科技", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 12.643579286837484}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_text", "outcomeText": "DeepSeek开源后技术路线被完全碾压，投资清零。在一个赢家通吃的赛道里第二名什么都不是。", "projectName": "语思科技", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_web3", "outcomeText": "中国明确禁止加密货币相关业务，国内业务全部关停。", "projectName": "链启未来", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 0.9120282656513156}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "pending", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2024_synbio", "outcomeText": "菌株在工业发酵罐中表现远不如培养皿——这是合成生物学最常见的死法。", "projectName": "创世纪元", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2023_aisafety", "outcomeText": "政府和金融行业AI审计刚需回报5倍。", "projectName": "校准智能", "maturityYear": 2028, "returnMultiple": 8.05776838918682}, {"year": 2026, "amount": 23, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "pending", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2023_aidrug", "outcomeText": "CRO服务模式验证，为药企提供AI筛选服务稳定盈利回报4倍。", "projectName": "创药科技", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 7.576763590739574}, {"year": 2026, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_code", "outcomeText": "程序员普遍不信任AI生成的代码，产品使用率始终上不去。", "projectName": "码力科技", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 0}]}