{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "朋友圈晒战绩", "eventId": "ev_new_moment_showoff", "outcome": "朋友圈发出去了。点赞很多，但LP合伙人也在下面点了个赞——你不确定这是鼓励还是警告。Network+5，Health-2（焦虑）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2008, "title": "供应商危机", "eventId": "ev_new_supply_chain_2", "outcome": "你在自己的portfolio网络里找到了一个可以做替代的供应商——正好是你另一个被投企业。一箭双雕。Network+6，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2009, "title": "洗手间的偶遇", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_bathroom", "outcome": "他想了想说：\"别人都在看的东西，不值钱。去看没人看的地方。\"然后他就走了。这句话你记了很多年。Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2010, "title": "招人季", "eventId": "ev_new_team_expansion", "outcome": "你招了第二选择。虽然没有第一名那么亮眼，但踏实肯干。Track Record+1，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2011, "title": "大佬的一句话", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_mentor_advice", "outcome": "你继续坚持你的\"数据驱动\"方法论。多年后你回头看——那些数据最漂亮的BP，创始人最后往往是最早放弃的。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2012, "title": "家里的电话", "eventId": "ev_new_family_pressure", "outcome": "你说：'妈，我在忙，下次再说。'挂了电话后你有点愧疚。Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2013, "title": "春节的问候", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_cny", "outcome": "你给mentor、一个你信任的创始人、和一个长期支持你的LP分别发了不一样的新年祝福。他们的回复让你觉得——在这个浮躁的行业里，真诚依然是一种竞争优势。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2014, "title": "小道消息", "eventId": "ev_new_market_rumor", "outcome": "你把消息告诉了两个朋友，约定如果属实则共同进退。两周后政策出台，你们三人各自调整了策略。Network+6，Track Record+1。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2015, "title": "行业群里的口水战", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_wechat_group", "outcome": "你选择沉默。群里吵了两天就消停了——大家继续忙着发BP和约咖啡。在这个行业里，所有的争论到最后都会被新的deal冲淡。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2016, "title": "TS被拒", "eventId": "ev_new_ts_rejection", "outcome": "你咬咬牙把估值提了20%。创始人犹豫了三天，最终签了。但你的AUM压力变大了——这笔投资必须成功。AUM-8，但Track Record+2（市场认可你的判断力）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2017, "title": "老股转让", "eventId": "ev_chain_secondary", "outcome": "你选择了等待。但一年后市场遇冷，IPO窗口关闭，那家公司的估值回落到了15亿。你错失了一个锁定回报的好时机。Track Record-5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2018, "title": "联合投资邀约", "eventId": "ev_network_coinvest", "outcome": "你坦率地表达了你的顾虑。对方不仅没有生气，反而因此更尊重你的判断力。他说\"下次有更好的deal我先找你。\"Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2019, "title": "估值下调", "eventId": "ev_new_down_round", "outcome": "你拉了另外两个老投资人一起跟投。大家各出一点，稀释摊薄了，也保住了对项目的话语权。Network+5，AUM-3，Track Record+1。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2020, "title": "Carry的传说", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_carry_talk", "outcome": "你坦诚的回答引来了两种反应——有人在笑，有人点了头。一位比你资深的合伙人私下说：\"能承认这一点，说明你有自知之明。大部分吹自己carry的人都在撒谎。\"Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 0}], "investments": [{"year": 2006, "amount": 8, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2007_novel", "outcomeText": "头部作者被竞品高价挖走，内容质量下滑用户流失。", "projectName": "云上学堂", "maturityYear": 2007, "returnMultiple": 1.1675420188345016}, {"year": 2007, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "gaming", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2008_virtual", "outcomeText": "游戏厂商自建交易平台，第三方被挤出。", "projectName": "换物宝", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 0.992363145109266}, {"year": 2008, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2006_search", "outcomeText": "搜索是赢家通吃的游戏，第二名什么都不是。", "projectName": "领航搜索", "maturityYear": 2009, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2009, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_office", "outcomeText": "钉钉免费策略横扫市场，创业公司无力抗衡。", "projectName": "云协科技", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 0.8651981779374183}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 11, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2011_lbs", "outcomeText": "签到热度退潮后用户活跃度骤降，勉强转型但已失先机。", "projectName": "定位圈", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0.8220287722535432}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2011_cloud", "outcomeText": "大厂云服务降价倾销，创业公司利润被挤压殆尽。", "projectName": "云鹏科技", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 1.159151861537248}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 7, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2009_browser", "outcomeText": "被曝窃取用户浏览记录卖给广告商，口碑崩塌。", "projectName": "极光浏览器", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2017_vr", "outcomeText": "VR头显体验差+内容稀缺=用户不会来第二次。", "projectName": "虚实互联", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_saas_crm", "outcomeText": "SaaS订阅模式在国内变现困难，增长不及预期勉强保本。", "projectName": "客云端", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 0.9035964509472252}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2014_bike", "outcomeText": "押金挤兑+资金链断裂，单车坟场遍布全国，投资清零。", "projectName": "迅风单车", "maturityYear": 2016, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 16, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_ai", "outcomeText": "产品和销售遇到瓶颈增长放缓，被国内云厂商低价收购。", "projectName": "灵智科技", "maturityYear": 2018, "returnMultiple": 0.9611575999297202}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 22, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2013_taxi", "outcomeText": "政策突变，各地交管部门联合整治，运营资质被吊销。", "projectName": "速达出行", "maturityYear": 2018, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 23, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2018_group_buying", "outcomeText": "巨头补贴战烧不起，退守区域市场估值腰斩。", "projectName": "近邻优选", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 1.1801986710168422}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2021_ev_battery", "outcomeText": "量产工艺迟迟无法突破，融资消耗殆尽被低价收购。", "projectName": "锂能科技", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.9136609146371484}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "pending", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2020_data_mid", "outcomeText": "做了两年的中台项目被客户叫停——他们发现数据根本没打通。", "projectName": "数澜数据", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 0}]}