{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "团建翻车", "eventId": "ev_new_team_dinner", "outcome": "你利用这个意外场景，把几个平时见不到的跨部门同事拉到了一起。效果出奇地好——人在脆弱的时候更容易合作。Network+7，Health-5。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2008, "title": "电梯演讲", "eventId": "ev_new_elevator_pitch", "outcome": "你聊了十分钟宏观经济和企业数字化。企业家礼貌地交换了名片，但你能感觉到他没有被打动。Network+4。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2009, "title": "带新人", "eventId": "ev_new_mentor_junior", "outcome": "你花了很多时间带新人。三个月后他已经能独立看项目了。他很感激你，成为了你团队的核心力量。Network+8，Health-3（精力消耗）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2010, "title": "数据泄露", "eventId": "ev_chain_data_breach", "outcome": "你建议公司主动向监管报告并启动用户赔偿。短期损失巨大，但赢得了监管的信任。一年后这家公司成了行业数据安全的标杆。Track Record+3，Network+3，AUM-5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2011, "title": "FOMO发作", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_fomo", "outcome": "你决定不做被动决策。两周后你发现那个deal并没有close——FA只是在制造紧迫感。你保住了自己的节奏。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2012, "title": "大单来袭", "eventId": "ev_chain_bigclient", "outcome": "你调动了自己的所有关系，帮公司招到了关键人才、对接了合作伙伴。项目交付成功，公司迈上了新台阶。Network+8，Track Record+6。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2013, "title": "大佬的一句话", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_mentor_advice", "outcome": "你在下一个项目中花了更多时间去了解创始人的性格和决策模式，而不仅仅是他的PPT。这个转变让你的deal质量显著提升。Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2014, "title": "核心出走", "eventId": "ev_chain_key_leave", "outcome": "你在24小时内联系了三个候选人。两周后新CTO到岗——他比前任更适配公司现阶段的需求。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2015, "title": "CEO的朋友圈", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_portfolio_ceo", "outcome": "他秒回了。你们聊了两个小时——原来他的联合创始人刚刚提了离职。你帮他分析了局面，他决定第二天跟联合创始人做最后一次深谈。后来联合创始人留了下来。Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2016, "title": "升职窗口", "eventId": "ev_new_promotion", "outcome": "你整理了一份完整的投资业绩报告发给合伙人。最终你拿到了晋升——因为你的数据确实更好。Track Record+4，Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2017, "title": "TS被拒", "eventId": "ev_new_ts_rejection", "outcome": "你没有跟价。你给创始人发了一份详细的投后赋能方案：渠道资源、人才引荐、下一轮FA对接。创始人被打动了。Track Record+3，Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2018, "title": "董事席位", "eventId": "ev_new_board_seat", "outcome": "你安静地听了三次会议。发现董事会里有两个人的关系非常微妙。你决定保持中立。Network+3，Health-2。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2019, "title": "招人季", "eventId": "ev_new_team_expansion", "outcome": "你招了一个在新能源行业干了15年的工程师。他看项目的角度和金融背景的人完全不同，补上了团队的短板。Track Record+2，Network+6。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2020, "title": "第一次投委会", "eventId": "ev_career_first_ic", "outcome": "你的pre得到了三个合伙人一致点头。mentor拍了拍你的肩膀。Track Record+4，Health-5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2021, "title": "颁奖典礼", "eventId": "ev_new_award_ceremony", "outcome": "你没有去拉关系。颁奖典礼上，另一个人赢了。但你的业绩确实比他好。Health-5（意难平），Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2022, "title": "LP的晚宴", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_lp_dinner", "outcome": "你没有说太多话，但你提的两个问题让那位退休大佬记住了你。饭后LP的助理通知你——LP决定追加出资。AUM+12，Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2023, "title": "接班人的烦恼", "eventId": "ev_career_succession", "outcome": "创始合伙人点了点头，但你在基金内部的地位没有实质变化。也许他需要的不是一个谦虚的人，而是一个有野心的人。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2024, "title": "周年庆", "eventId": "ev_new_anniversary", "outcome": "你写了一段走心的话，配了五年来第一张工牌照。点赞过百，好几个同行主动加了你微信。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2025, "title": "出圈的表情包", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_viral_meme", "outcome": "你在朋友圈转发了那个表情包，还自己配了一段自嘲的话。没想到这条朋友圈获得了行业里几十个合伙人的点赞——你的人设突然变成了\"接地气的投资人\"。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 0}], "investments": [{"year": 2007, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2006_search", "outcomeText": "Google退出中国后市场格局固化，公司转型企业搜索，勉力维持。", "projectName": "领航搜索", "maturityYear": 2009, "returnMultiple": 1.0703377747908236}, {"year": 2008, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2008_adnetwork", "outcomeText": "移动时代来临，PC流量持续萎缩。", "projectName": "流量聚", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 1.0334989607334135}, {"year": 2009, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2012_weibo", "outcomeText": "在大学生群体中爆发，被字节跳动着中收购回报4倍。", "projectName": "微声", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 8.425880491565913}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_ecom_mobile", "outcomeText": "巨头补贴战烧钱太狠，独立平台无力跟进。", "projectName": "掌上购物", "maturityYear": 2012, "returnMultiple": 0.9854319283738732}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2010_groupbuy", "outcomeText": "千团大战中资金链断裂，公司倒闭，创始人回老家做小生意。", "projectName": "凑凑网", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2012_office", "outcomeText": "专注中小企业的移动办公需求，在细分市场盈利回报3倍。", "projectName": "云协科技", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 2.803010525722057}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 16, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2017_blockchain", "outcomeText": "赶在监管禁令前完成合规转型，技术服务业务活了下来回报2倍。", "projectName": "链联科技", "maturityYear": 2016, "returnMultiple": 26.30140620097518}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2017_edu", "outcomeText": "获客成本飙升+续费率低，烧钱模型崩塌。", "projectName": "蒜头编程", "maturityYear": 2015, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_knowledge", "outcomeText": "知识付费退潮+盗版泛滥，GMV持续走低。", "projectName": "蝉鸣课堂", "maturityYear": 2016, "returnMultiple": 1.031781855970621}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 16, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_ai", "outcomeText": "产品和销售遇到瓶颈增长放缓，被国内云厂商低价收购。", "projectName": "灵智科技", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 0.8636648882180453}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2016_overseas_shop", "outcomeText": "跨境电商税率调整压缩毛利空间，增速放缓后估值停滞。", "projectName": "全球淘", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 1.171620834525675}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 28, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2018_ev", "outcomeText": "电池安全事故+大规模召回，公司资金链断裂。", "projectName": "电动未来", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 31, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2019_chip2", "outcomeText": "流片后性能不达预期，二次流片耗尽融资。", "projectName": "星际半导体", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.9152062351815404}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 20, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2019_overseas_game", "outcomeText": "在印尼和沙特建立本地化壁垒年利润破5亿回报4倍。", "projectName": "扬帆游戏工场", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 3.9281820864882313}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2019_semi", "outcomeText": "产品在细分领域落地被华为哈勃战略投资回报3倍。", "projectName": "芯元芯片", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 9.369517921262888}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2020_data_mid", "outcomeText": "在政府和金融行业拿下大单回报4倍。", "projectName": "数澜数据", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 2.773388551147655}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 29, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2018_consumer", "outcomeText": "疫情冲击线下外卖利润薄，上市计划搁置估值缩水。", "projectName": "活力伙伴", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.8508760485798121}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2021_cobot", "outcomeText": "核心零部件被卡脖子，供应链危机下无法交付。", "projectName": "协智制造", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 32, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2021_autopilot", "outcomeText": "技术路线多次调整，融资节奏没跟上，被头部公司并购。", "projectName": "驾途科技", "maturityYear": 2023, "returnMultiple": 1.1364947261288765}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2020_privacy", "outcomeText": "技术很酷但客户不买单——隐私计算的ROI说不清楚。", "projectName": "暗盾科技", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0.992771377041936}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2020_medai", "outcomeText": "在肺结节和眼底筛查两大场景建立壁垒回报4倍。", "projectName": "睿医科技", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 5.027198881893418}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 22, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2021_toy", "outcomeText": "核心设计师被挖走，IP储备枯竭，复购率崩塌。", "projectName": "潮物星球", "maturityYear": 2023, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 15, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2021_pet", "outcomeText": "被高瓴资本收购整合进宠物医疗集团回报6倍。", "projectName": "宠一生", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 4.240540621131659}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_embodied", "outcomeText": "具身智能的ChatGPT时刻迟迟不来，烧完钱后估值腰斩。", "projectName": "灵巧机器人", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 1.0599580134265123}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 28, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2025_lowalt", "outcomeText": "适航认证进展缓慢，烧钱速度远超预期估值下修。", "projectName": "云翔科技", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 0.9296543443575502}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 29, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_space", "outcomeText": "一次发射失败炸掉了全年的收入。", "projectName": "星际航天", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 1.1070647820830346}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 25, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_rival", "outcomeText": "在视频理解和生成场景找到PMF回报5倍。", "projectName": "言思的对手——万象智能", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 14.205662827715276}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2025_aigc_video", "outcomeText": "大厂自研视频模型效果超越，创业公司的护城河不够深。", "projectName": "幻象科技", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 0.9300862931646408}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2023_aisafety", "outcomeText": "AI监管法规密集出台，成为行业合规标配工具被蚂蚁集团收购回报20倍。", "projectName": "校准智能", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 16.260312073957177}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 25, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2022_quantum", "outcomeText": "技术路线重大调整，之前的研发投入全部打水漂。", "projectName": "量子飞跃", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0.9517430772073568}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_overseas", "outcomeText": "地缘政治导致主要市场被封，被迫收缩估值缩水。", "projectName": "远洋电商", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 0.8802455780096352}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_code", "outcomeText": "程序员普遍不信任AI生成的代码，产品使用率始终上不去。", "projectName": "码力科技", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 25, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "pending", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2025_embodied2", "outcomeText": "被发那科的新产品线直接竞争，价格和技术双重碾压。", "projectName": "灵巧对手——铁臂科技", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_datalabel", "outcomeText": "GPT-5级别的合成数据质量远超人工，标注需求大幅萎缩。", "projectName": "标注先锋", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0.8205159100703896}]}