{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "朋友圈晒战绩", "eventId": "ev_new_moment_showoff", "outcome": "你没有晒合影，而是写了一篇800字的投资逻辑拆解。行业大佬转发并评论'有深度'，LP也觉得你很专业。Track Record+2，Network+3，Health-3（写了一晚上）。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2008, "title": "反向尽调", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_reverse_dd", "outcome": "你优雅地退出了竞价。三个月后那家公司估值缩水一半，拿了大基金的钱却被当成了提款机。你的判断力再次得到了验证。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2009, "title": "出租车里的BP", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_taxi_pitch", "outcome": "你从机场到登机口的路上看完了这份BP。项目本身一般，但你在BP里看到了一个被你忽略的细分需求。这个灵感后来启发你投了一个不错的deal。Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2010, "title": "年终排名", "eventId": "ev_career_ranking", "outcome": "你立下了军令状。MD欣赏你的态度，但也提醒你：承诺了就要做到。Track Record+2，Health-7。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2011, "title": "LP的晚宴", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_lp_dinner", "outcome": "你没有说太多话，但你提的两个问题让那位退休大佬记住了你。饭后LP的助理通知你——LP决定追加出资。AUM+12，Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2012, "title": "TS拉锯战", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_ts_drama", "outcome": "你礼貌地退出了竞争。\"估值不是一切\"——你对创始人说。两周后创始人又联系了你：对方在尽调中发现了问题撤回了TS。你现在有了谈判的主动权，Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2013, "title": "家里的电话", "eventId": "ev_new_family_pressure", "outcome": "你转了5万块给妈妈。她立刻给王阿姨发了一条语音：'我儿子刚给我转了5万块，说什么公务员有这个待遇吗？'你哭笑不得。AUM-3，Health+6。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2014, "title": "标题党", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_media_misquote", "outcome": "朋友圈发出去后评论区更热闹了。有人支持你，有人说你此地无银。你意识到在社交媒体时代，解释就是二次传播，Network-5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2015, "title": "你当年Pass掉的项目", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_missed_unicorn", "outcome": "你辗转联系到创始人。\"我们这轮已经close了。\"对方礼貌地回复。但对方又补了一句：\"不过我有个新项目要启动，你要不要先看看？\"Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2016, "title": "董事席位", "eventId": "ev_new_board_seat", "outcome": "你开始每会后写备忘录，记录各方立场和权力动态。三个月后你已经完全看懂了董事会的政治格局。这份备忘录后来成了你最重要的职业资产。Track Record+2，Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2017, "title": "LP突击拜访", "eventId": "ev_career_lp_visit", "outcome": "LP沉默了很久，最后说了一句：\"我欣赏你的诚实。\"他没有撤资——这次没有。但你从他眼神里看到了犹豫。Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2018, "title": "升职窗口", "eventId": "ev_new_promotion", "outcome": "你约了老板喝咖啡，谈了你对基金未来的想法。老板很欣赏你的格局。Network+6，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2019, "title": "创始人的微信", "eventId": "ev_chain_founder_divorce", "outcome": "你把问题交给了律师团队。专业的人做专业的事。但创始人觉得你不够关心——在他看来，这不是一个法律问题，是信任问题。Network-7。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2020, "title": "媒体训练", "eventId": "ev_new_media_training", "outcome": "你学会了如何在采访中引导话题、如何在敏感问题上优雅回避。这些技巧在后来和LP的沟通中也派上了用场。Network+5，Track Record+1。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2021, "title": "榜单来了", "eventId": "ev_new_industry_ranking", "outcome": "你把不爽转化成了动力。下一个季度你的出单量翻了倍。Track Record+3，Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2022, "title": "估值泄露", "eventId": "ev_new_leaked_valuation", "outcome": "你查了一圈，发现是项目方自己泄露的——为了制造热度。你把这个发现告诉了创始人，关系更近了一步。Track Record+2，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2023, "title": "创始人的礼物", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_founder_gift", "outcome": "你写了一封详细的反馈邮件。创始人后来告诉别人——你的反馈让他修改了产品的三个关键设计。Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2024, "title": "颁奖典礼", "eventId": "ev_new_award_ceremony", "outcome": "你主动约了竞争对手喝咖啡。聊完发现你们对行业的理解很互补。颁奖典礼上他赢了，但你们成了朋友，后来合作了两个deal。Network+10，Track Record-3。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2025, "title": "猎头的电话", "eventId": "ev_new_headhunt_2", "outcome": "你告诉猎头：如果要我，我要带两个分析师一起。猎头说这需要额外审批。两周后对方同意了——你的议价能力让现平台也开始重新评估你的价值。Network+8，Track Record+1。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2026, "title": "监管约谈", "eventId": "ev_new_regulatory_call", "outcome": "你认真评估后认为风险太大。你建议创始人暂停业务、寻找合规路径。虽然短期内项目受挫，但避免了更大的麻烦。Track Record+2，Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 1}], "investments": [{"year": 2006, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2008_email", "outcomeText": "数据安全事件导致大客户集体解约。", "projectName": "翼邮", "maturityYear": 2008, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2007, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2007_b2b", "outcomeText": "中国加入WTO红利爆发，外贸B2B需求井喷，港股上市回报12倍。", "projectName": "联通商网", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 8.267914726166055}, {"year": 2008, "amount": 8, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2005_portal", "outcomeText": "用户增长到百万级遇到瓶颈，资金耗尽前以成本价出让。", "projectName": "潮汐门户", "maturityYear": 2011, "returnMultiple": 0.8776148826815189}, {"year": 2009, "amount": 8, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2009_mobilead", "outcomeText": "业务跟随市场稳步增长，在细分领域建立壁垒回报3倍。", "projectName": "指媒传媒", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 3.2449101418093775}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_office", "outcomeText": "钉钉免费策略横扫市场，创业公司无力抗衡。", "projectName": "云协科技", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0.8592361468821764}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_shortvideo", "outcomeText": "工具属性太强缺乏社区，用户拍完就走留不下来。", "projectName": "快拍达人", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 1.0989281716756525}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2012_payment", "outcomeText": "在B端支付解决方案领域找到立足之地回报3倍。", "projectName": "易结付", "maturityYear": 2015, "returnMultiple": 5.644449637073558}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 16, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_blockchain", "outcomeText": "监管突然出手禁止ICO，项目方跑路前你勉强拿回了本金。", "projectName": "链联科技", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0.8942892747931183}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_live", "outcomeText": "内容监管收紧+头部主播流失，营收腰斩后艰难保本。", "projectName": "燎原直播", "maturityYear": 2015, "returnMultiple": 1.0187547273933888}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_saas_crm", "outcomeText": "SaaS订阅模式在国内变现困难，增长不及预期勉强保本。", "projectName": "客云端", "maturityYear": 2016, "returnMultiple": 0.9704524010419846}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2016_crossborder", "outcomeText": "关税加征后跨境成本飙升，利润率被吃掉一半。", "projectName": "购通全球", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 0.9238751687109472}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 29, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2018_consumer", "outcomeText": "踩中国潮红利全国开店3000家，港股上市市值破千亿回报15倍。", "projectName": "活力伙伴", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 12.133781220680104}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2020_privacy", "outcomeText": "技术很酷但客户不买单——隐私计算的ROI说不清楚。", "projectName": "暗盾科技", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.9639392045326532}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2020_data_mid", "outcomeText": "数据中台概念退潮后需求断崖，项目制模式难以为继。", "projectName": "数澜数据", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 1.1851786311715842}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2020_secondhand", "outcomeText": "鉴定师被曝参与造假，用户信任崩塌，平台交易量断崖下跌。", "projectName": "旋旋圈", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2020_medai", "outcomeText": "产品获批后发现医生不愿意用——AI诊断的法律责任归属不明确。", "projectName": "睿医科技", "maturityYear": 2023, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 15, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2021_saas_hr", "outcomeText": "客户流失率高于预期，SaaS模式在中国水土不服。", "projectName": "人智云", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 1.1153693921864034}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_code", "outcomeText": "大厂推出免费竞品，独立工具的生存空间被急剧压缩。", "projectName": "码力科技", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 1.025437843613327}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_aisafety", "outcomeText": "AI安全概念大于实质，企业买单意愿有限。", "projectName": "校准智能", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 1.1980464751832187}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2024_web3", "outcomeText": "合规化转型做数字版权交易平台回报3倍。", "projectName": "链启未来", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 10.01053094607778}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2025_aigc_video", "outcomeText": "与抖音电商深度合作成为官方工具回报5倍。", "projectName": "幻象科技", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 7.744663838844281}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 34, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_fusion", "outcomeText": "在政府项目和科研经费中勉强生存，商业回报遥遥无期。", "projectName": "核聚动力", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 0.9310648269951344}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 23, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_aidrug", "outcomeText": "临床数据不如预期，AI制药的光环褪去融资困难。", "projectName": "创药科技", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 1.141827680170536}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_overseas", "outcomeText": "地缘政治导致主要市场被封，被迫收缩估值缩水。", "projectName": "远洋电商", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 1.077025203313679}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2024_digitalhuman", "outcomeText": "数字人直播被315点名——缺乏真实性和误导消费者。", "projectName": "影分身", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "pending", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2024_embodied", "outcomeText": "具身智能赛道被资本狂热追捧一年内三轮融资估值暴涨至50亿美元回报超40倍——公司还没收入。", "projectName": "灵巧机器人", "maturityYear": 2029, "returnMultiple": 31.01783594612032}, {"year": 2026, "amount": 25, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2023_energy_storage", "outcomeText": "储能电芯价格雪崩，在手订单大面积取消估值腰斩。", "projectName": "蓄能未来", "maturityYear": 2028, "returnMultiple": 0.9291835601441564}, {"year": 2026, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_synbio", "outcomeText": "量产放大遇到瓶颈，产出效率远低于实验室水平。", "projectName": "创世纪元", "maturityYear": 2029, "returnMultiple": 1.1093536789529026}]}