{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "团建翻车", "eventId": "ev_new_team_dinner", "outcome": "你利用这个意外场景，把几个平时见不到的跨部门同事拉到了一起。效果出奇地好——人在脆弱的时候更容易合作。Network+7，Health-5。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2008, "title": "核心出走", "eventId": "ev_chain_key_leave", "outcome": "你在公司旁边的咖啡馆跟CTO谈了四个小时。他最终同意留下——但你承诺的条件（包括加薪和期权）让公司burn rate又涨了。Health-7，AUM-4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2009, "title": "SPAC的诱惑", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_spac", "outcome": "SPAC流程确实快。公司挂牌了，估值确实翻了一倍——然后三个月后跌了70%。你帮LP在高位套现了一部分。AUM+15，Track Record-3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2010, "title": "估值泄露", "eventId": "ev_new_leaked_valuation", "outcome": "你查了一圈，发现是项目方自己泄露的——为了制造热度。你把这个发现告诉了创始人，关系更近了一步。Track Record+2，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2011, "title": "FA的BP轰炸", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_fa_bp", "outcome": "你收到了一条来自FA的跟进微信：\"张总，BP看完了吗？这轮马上要close了，现在不投就来不及了。\"你没有回复。这是你今年做得最正确的决定。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2012, "title": "一纸邀约", "eventId": "ev_career_poach", "outcome": "你决定忠诚于老东家。mentor听说后拍了拍你的肩膀：\"我没看错你。\"Track Record+6。但夜深人静时，你偶尔会想——如果当时选了另一条路呢？ Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2013, "title": "老同学的微信", "eventId": "ev_new_old_friend", "outcome": "你花了两个晚上帮他重新梳理了商业模式画布。他虽然没拿到融资，但真诚地感谢了你。你感觉自己的分析能力也在帮他复盘时提升了。Track Record+2，Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2014, "title": "年终面谈", "eventId": "ev_new_performance_review", "outcome": "你问了这个问题。老板愣了一下，然后花了30分钟讲了他当年最得意的deal。你发现他说的标准和你想的不一样——他要的不是赚钱的deal，是能上教科书的deal。Track Record+2，Health-2。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2015, "title": "大佬的一句话", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_mentor_advice", "outcome": "你在下一个项目中花了更多时间去了解创始人的性格和决策模式，而不仅仅是他的PPT。这个转变让你的deal质量显著提升。Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2016, "title": "联合投资邀约", "eventId": "ev_network_coinvest", "outcome": "你第一次以领投方的身份出现在行业媒体的报道中。虽然这个deal本身回报一般，但你的名字开始被更多圈外人知道了。AUM+5，Track Record+2，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2017, "title": "招人季", "eventId": "ev_new_team_expansion", "outcome": "你招了一个在新能源行业干了15年的工程师。他看项目的角度和金融背景的人完全不同，补上了团队的短板。Track Record+2，Network+6。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2018, "title": "马拉松完赛", "eventId": "ev_health_milestone", "outcome": "你用了2小时45分钟完成了半马。冲过终点线的那一刻你哭了——不是因为累，而是你意识到生活中不只有BP和term sheet。Health+15，Network+5（一起跑步的行业朋友）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2019, "title": "TS被拒", "eventId": "ev_new_ts_rejection", "outcome": "你没有跟价。你给创始人发了一份详细的投后赋能方案：渠道资源、人才引荐、下一轮FA对接。创始人被打动了。Track Record+3，Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2020, "title": "榜单来了", "eventId": "ev_new_industry_ranking", "outcome": "你约了编辑喝咖啡，了解了评选逻辑：看退出案例而非在管规模。你意识到自己确实缺少退出案例。这次对话改变了你接下来的投资策略。Track Record+2，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2021, "title": "第一次投委会", "eventId": "ev_career_first_ic", "outcome": "你的pre得到了三个合伙人一致点头。mentor拍了拍你的肩膀。Track Record+4，Health-5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2022, "title": "暗流涌动", "eventId": "ev_career_politics", "outcome": "你开始为自己的下一步打算。加了几个猎头的微信，也婉转地在几个行业聚会上露了面。Network+13，但Track Record-7（心思不在deal上了）。", "choiceIndex": 1}], "investments": [{"year": 2006, "amount": 11, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2008_ecom", "outcomeText": "在经济下行期保持增长，站稳细分赛道，被阿里收购回报3倍。", "projectName": "聚购网", "maturityYear": 2009, "returnMultiple": 3.780161412991584}, {"year": 2007, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2005_sp", "outcomeText": "运营商突然收紧SP政策，所有业务线一夜归零，公司清盘。", "projectName": "翼信互动", "maturityYear": 2008, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2008, "amount": 6, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2006_job", "outcomeText": "巨头招聘业务免费化，垂直招聘空间被挤压殆尽。", "projectName": "招才猫", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 1.0928070636466147}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2009_appstore", "outcomeText": "手机厂商预装商店成为主流，第三方商店边缘化。", "projectName": "应用集市", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 1.0159093858674169}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 13, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2011_cloud", "outcomeText": "专注服务金融和政务客户，壁垒深厚回报5倍。", "projectName": "云鹏科技", "maturityYear": 2012, "returnMultiple": 6.782502792268061}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 6, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2011_taxi", "outcomeText": "交管部门认定App叫车违规，产品被勒令下架。", "projectName": "悦行宝", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2016_overseas_shop", "outcomeText": "跨境电商税率调整压缩毛利空间，增速放缓后估值停滞。", "projectName": "全球淘", "maturityYear": 2015, "returnMultiple": 1.1244318953715269}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2014_p2p", "outcomeText": "平台平稳运营至备案制落地，被持牌机构收购回报2倍。", "projectName": "鑫融金服", "maturityYear": 2016, "returnMultiple": 3.633714768444188}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2016_crossborder", "outcomeText": "关税加征后跨境成本飙升，利润率被吃掉一半。", "projectName": "购通全球", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 1.088717395439744}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 22, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2013_taxi", "outcomeText": "在合并中作为小股东被稀释，但最终IPO让早期投资仍有回报5倍。", "projectName": "速达出行", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 4.558452273281291}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2017_insurtech", "outcomeText": "在健康险和旅行险细分做到第一回报3倍。", "projectName": "安保易", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 2.835995404254646}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 11, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2015_overseas_tool", "outcomeText": "亚马逊自建工具免费化，第三方SaaS被边缘化。", "projectName": "越境通", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 1.0213769368827343}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2017_saas_crm", "outcomeText": "企业微信和钉钉双平台布局，ARR突破5亿港股上市回报8倍。", "projectName": "客云端", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 6.312589150276036}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2021_cobot", "outcomeText": "核心零部件被卡脖子，供应链危机下无法交付。", "projectName": "协智制造", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 28, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2018_ev", "outcomeText": "补贴退坡后单车成本飙升，定价失去竞争力。", "projectName": "电动未来", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 0.8020592482760549}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 23, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2018_group_buying", "outcomeText": "巨头补贴战烧不起，退守区域市场估值腰斩。", "projectName": "近邻优选", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 0.8596858777105809}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 31, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2019_chip2", "outcomeText": "流片后性能不达预期，二次流片耗尽融资。", "projectName": "星际半导体", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 1.1353043787181378}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2021_ev_battery", "outcomeText": "在特定应用场景率先量产，成为电池细分龙头回报5倍。", "projectName": "锂能科技", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 7.461730244052597}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "semiconductor", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2019_semi", "outcomeText": "技术路线验证但商业化缓慢，被产业链整合回报接近成本。", "projectName": "芯元芯片", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 1.1206407290883362}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2020_privacy", "outcomeText": "在金融风控和医疗数据共享两大场景突破，被蚂蚁集团收购回报10倍。", "projectName": "暗盾科技", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 7.269060462107882}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 29, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2018_consumer", "outcomeText": "踩中国潮红利全国开店3000家，港股上市市值破千亿回报15倍。", "projectName": "活力伙伴", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 11.291664565205576}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2019_beauty", "outcomeText": "代工厂被曝质量问题，品牌声誉崩塌，退货率飙升。", "projectName": "花语纪", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 15, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2021_pet", "outcomeText": "过度扩张导致医疗事故频发，兽医人才流失严重。", "projectName": "宠一生", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "healthcare", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2020_medai", "outcomeText": "医院预算收紧，采购决策链过长，商业化远低预期。", "projectName": "睿医科技", "maturityYear": 2022, "returnMultiple": 0.8909181088209153}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2025_aigc_video", "outcomeText": "大厂自研视频模型效果超越，创业公司的护城河不够深。", "projectName": "幻象科技", "maturityYear": 2023, "returnMultiple": 1.1861736396327616}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2025_aicustomer", "outcomeText": "一个AI客服对客户说出了不该说的话，引发舆情危机。", "projectName": "语小助", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 1.1597291523590685}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_web3", "outcomeText": "中国明确禁止加密货币相关业务，国内业务全部关停。", "projectName": "链启未来", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 0.8795439957641066}]}