{"events": [{"year": 2007, "title": "反向尽调", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_reverse_dd", "outcome": "你优雅地退出了竞价。三个月后那家公司估值缩水一半，拿了大基金的钱却被当成了提款机。你的判断力再次得到了验证。Network+8。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2008, "title": "电梯演讲", "eventId": "ev_new_elevator_pitch", "outcome": "你用15秒描述了你对新能源赛道的判断。企业家点了点头：'有意思，把你的BP发给我。'电梯门开了，他走了。你感觉心跳加速。Network+12，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2009, "title": "监管约谈", "eventId": "ev_new_regulatory_call", "outcome": "你认真评估后认为风险太大。你建议创始人暂停业务、寻找合规路径。虽然短期内项目受挫，但避免了更大的麻烦。Track Record+2，Health-3。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2010, "title": "政策东风", "eventId": "ev_chain_policy_good", "outcome": "你的冷静让创始人避免了盲目扩张的陷阱。一年后政策细则出台时，很多同行发现红利没有想象中大——但他们已经过度投入了，Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2011, "title": "创始人的礼物", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_founder_gift", "outcome": "你写了一封详细的反馈邮件。创始人后来告诉别人——你的反馈让他修改了产品的三个关键设计。Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2012, "title": "LP突击拜访", "eventId": "ev_career_lp_visit", "outcome": "LP沉默了很久，最后说了一句：\"我欣赏你的诚实。\"他没有撤资——这次没有。但你从他眼神里看到了犹豫。Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2013, "title": "朋友圈风波", "eventId": "ev_chain_founder_wechat", "outcome": "你发了一条微信：\"最近压力大？出来喝一杯？\"创始人秒回：\"不好意思，不是说你。\"但你注意到他删除了那条朋友圈。Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2014, "title": "大佬的一句话", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_mentor_advice", "outcome": "你在下一个项目中花了更多时间去了解创始人的性格和决策模式，而不仅仅是他的PPT。这个转变让你的deal质量显著提升。Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2015, "title": "猎头的甜蜜陷阱", "eventId": "ev_network_headhunter", "outcome": "面试过程极其严格——五轮，横跨三个时区。最终你拿到了offer。但你需要决定：是留在现在的平台继续深耕，还是去一个更大的舞台？AUM+10，但Track Record-3（心思不在deal上了）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2016, "title": "被投转型", "eventId": "ev_new_portfolio_pivot", "outcome": "你帮创始人重新梳理了商业模式，介绍了两个企业服务的客户。转型比预期的顺利。Track Record+2，Network+5，AUM-3（额外投入）。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2017, "title": "媒体训练", "eventId": "ev_new_media_training", "outcome": "你把话题从'怎么接受采访'转向了'怎么帮项目用媒体打市场'。教练给了你一套完整的PR打法。后来你的项目在媒体曝光度上明显领先。Network+5，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2018, "title": "联合投资邀约", "eventId": "ev_network_coinvest", "outcome": "你第一次以领投方的身份出现在行业媒体的报道中。虽然这个deal本身回报一般，但你的名字开始被更多圈外人知道了。AUM+5，Track Record+2，Network+3。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2019, "title": "竞对的谣言", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_rival_fund", "outcome": "你发了一份详细的portfolio更新，数据充分、逻辑清晰。LP们不仅没有被谣言影响，反而对你更加信任了。Track Record+6。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2020, "title": "尽调惊魂", "eventId": "ev_anecdote_dd_find", "outcome": "你果断退出了。创始人发了一条阴阳怪气的朋友圈——你没有回复。三个月后这家公司被媒体曝光财务造假，所有参与投资的VC都在忙着灭火。你逃过一劫，Track Record+4。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2021, "title": "恩师的电话", "eventId": "ev_career_mentor", "outcome": "你接过了mentor的衣钵。AUM+15，Track Record+6。但你从此背上了一份沉甸甸的责任——你不能辜负他的信任，Network+13。", "choiceIndex": 0}, {"year": 2022, "title": "大佬的私人饭局", "eventId": "ev_network_dinner", "outcome": "你没有成为焦点，但你认真记下了每个人说的每一句话。其中一条信息让你在三个月后避开了一个大坑。Network+5。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2023, "title": "招人季", "eventId": "ev_new_team_expansion", "outcome": "你招了一个在新能源行业干了15年的工程师。他看项目的角度和金融背景的人完全不同，补上了团队的短板。Track Record+2，Network+6。", "choiceIndex": 2}, {"year": 2024, "title": "接班人的烦恼", "eventId": "ev_career_succession", "outcome": "创始合伙人点了点头，但你在基金内部的地位没有实质变化。也许他需要的不是一个谦虚的人，而是一个有野心的人。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2025, "title": "圈内丑闻", "eventId": "ev_network_gossip", "outcome": "LP听懂了你的暗示。当丑闻曝光时，你的LP是少数提前做了准备的。他对你的信任大幅提升。Network+8，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 1}, {"year": 2026, "title": "升职窗口", "eventId": "ev_new_promotion", "outcome": "你约了老板喝咖啡，谈了你对基金未来的想法。老板很欣赏你的格局。Network+6，Track Record+2。", "choiceIndex": 1}], "investments": [{"year": 2006, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2007_antivirus", "outcomeText": "免费模式烧钱太快，广告收入跟不上，估值缩水至成本线。", "projectName": "铁壁安全", "maturityYear": 2007, "returnMultiple": 1.1541180126369}, {"year": 2007, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "pc_internet", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2006_search", "outcomeText": "Google退出中国后市场格局固化，公司转型企业搜索，勉力维持。", "projectName": "领航搜索", "maturityYear": 2009, "returnMultiple": 1.1778918849304318}, {"year": 2008, "amount": 9, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2006_travel", "outcomeText": "OTA巨头自建比价功能，第三方比价失去存在价值。", "projectName": "畅游旅行", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 0.8858791157603264}, {"year": 2009, "amount": 17, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_ecom_mobile", "outcomeText": "巨头补贴战烧钱太狠，独立平台无力跟进。", "projectName": "掌上购物", "maturityYear": 2010, "returnMultiple": 1.1560590540990234}, {"year": 2010, "amount": 6, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "huge_success", "projectId": "p_2011_taxi", "outcomeText": "被快的收购作为其技术团队，换股后回报10倍。", "projectName": "悦行宝", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 8.065568856671453}, {"year": 2011, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "mobile", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2012_shortvideo", "outcomeText": "工具属性太强缺乏社区，用户拍完就走留不下来。", "projectName": "快拍达人", "maturityYear": 2012, "returnMultiple": 1.155542189627886}, {"year": 2012, "amount": 5, "isLead": true, "sector": "gaming", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2010_mobilegame", "outcomeText": "创意枯竭+大厂碾压，再也没有做出第二款成功的游戏。", "projectName": "灵跃游戏", "maturityYear": 2013, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2013, "amount": 19, "isLead": true, "sector": "ecommerce", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2016_crossborder", "outcomeText": "国际物流成本暴涨+供应链中断，订单大量取消。", "projectName": "购通全球", "maturityYear": 2014, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2014, "amount": 22, "isLead": true, "sector": "o2o", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2013_taxi", "outcomeText": "补贴大战烧光融资，在合并谈判中筹码尽失勉强保本。", "projectName": "速达出行", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 1.1205673177726567}, {"year": 2015, "amount": 10, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_insurtech", "outcomeText": "互联网保险新规出台，经纪牌照门槛提高。", "projectName": "安保易", "maturityYear": 2018, "returnMultiple": 0.909011497348547}, {"year": 2016, "amount": 12, "isLead": true, "sector": "saas", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_saas_crm", "outcomeText": "SaaS订阅模式在国内变现困难，增长不及预期勉强保本。", "projectName": "客云端", "maturityYear": 2017, "returnMultiple": 1.148185741715133}, {"year": 2017, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "fintech", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2017_crowdfunding", "outcomeText": "监管突然收紧，股权众筹业务被叫停估值腰斩。", "projectName": "追梦网", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.8346579346805811}, {"year": 2018, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2021_ev_battery", "outcomeText": "实验室数据无法在产线上复现——这是硬科技最常见的死法。", "projectName": "锂能科技", "maturityYear": 2019, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2019, "amount": 21, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2021_cobot", "outcomeText": "工业巨头推出更具性价比的协作方案，创业公司无力竞争。", "projectName": "协智制造", "maturityYear": 2020, "returnMultiple": 0.802304441574961}, {"year": 2020, "amount": 29, "isLead": true, "sector": "consumer", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2018_consumer", "outcomeText": "疫情冲击线下外卖利润薄，上市计划搁置估值缩水。", "projectName": "活力伙伴", "maturityYear": 2021, "returnMultiple": 0.8357478260062635}, {"year": 2021, "amount": 32, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2021_autopilot", "outcomeText": "技术路线多次调整，融资节奏没跟上，被头部公司并购。", "projectName": "驾途科技", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 1.0696082526817918}, {"year": 2022, "amount": 18, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "failure", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_text", "outcomeText": "DeepSeek开源后技术路线被完全碾压，投资清零。在一个赢家通吃的赛道里第二名什么都不是。", "projectName": "语思科技", "maturityYear": 2024, "returnMultiple": 0}, {"year": 2023, "amount": 25, "isLead": true, "sector": "aigc", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2022_aigc_rival", "outcomeText": "训练一次模型烧掉一轮融资，算力成本吃掉所有想象空间。", "projectName": "言思的对手——万象智能", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 0.8444077586755157}, {"year": 2024, "amount": 28, "isLead": true, "sector": "new_energy", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "moderate_success", "projectId": "p_2025_lowalt", "outcomeText": "在物流无人机领域率先商业化回报5倍。", "projectName": "云翔科技", "maturityYear": 2025, "returnMultiple": 11.480900590773672}, {"year": 2025, "amount": 26, "isLead": true, "sector": "ai", "status": "resolved", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_embodied", "outcomeText": "具身智能的ChatGPT时刻迟迟不来，烧完钱后估值腰斩。", "projectName": "灵巧机器人", "maturityYear": 2026, "returnMultiple": 1.0632578091695906}, {"year": 2026, "amount": 14, "isLead": true, "sector": "overseas", "status": "pending", "outcome": "breakeven", "projectId": "p_2024_overseas_ai", "outcomeText": "大厂推出免费竞品，独立工具的付费转化率远低于预期。", "projectName": "AI远航计划", "maturityYear": 2027, "returnMultiple": 1.1392419973388317}]}